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Options BetsOct 27, 2026 · 11:26:15 ET · QQQ

QQQ calls likely bought for a November rally

Logged Oct 27, 2026 at 11:26 ET with QQQ at $719.96. The position it leaves is long 4,563 Nov 30 755 calls, bullish on the Nasdaq-100 if opened long: the prints, what most likely happened, scenarios to expiry and the payoff follow.

QQQ betOpen · +$160K on Oct 27

Now long 4,563 Nov 30 755 calls: bullish on the Nasdaq-100 if opened long.

Money behind it
$2.40Mpremium paid, all it can lose; behaves like 104,082 QQQ shares long today ($74.93M)
Potential profit
Unlimited+$30.89M if the Nasdaq-100 rises 15% by Nov 30
Max risk
−$2.40Mthe premium, if QQQ ends at or below $755.00 on Nov 30
Capital behind it
$2.40M$2.40M premium paid
Return, 34 days
+1287%on the premium paid, if the Nasdaq-100 rises 15% by Nov 30; −100% if flat
Breakeven
$760.26+5.6% from $719.96
The trade
$2.40Mpremium across 4,563 contracts; −$2.40M net cash paid

Side read from the fill, not reported by the tape. Computed from the logged prints. Not advice.

01

The trade

Single call: buy the Nov 30 755 call, one displayed block on CBOE.

Time (ET)OptionQtyPriceExchangeMarketDeltaIVQQQRead
11:26:15Nov 30 755 call4,5635.26CBOE5.22 × 5.280.2318.6%719.96Bought
TotalNov 30 755 call4,5635.26CBOE5.22 × 5.280.2318.6%$2.40M premium

Every print of the order as it crossed the tape, in the time-and-sales layout. Prices in green printed at the ask, in red at the bid. Delta and implied volatility are solved from each print's own price against QQQ at $719.96 (Black-Scholes, fed funds, no dividend), so they differ slightly from a broker's. Totals weight price and quote by size. "Read" is our reading of the side, explained next.

02

What most likely happened

At 11:26 ET, 4,563 Nov 30 755 calls traded together in one order on CBOE, the same size on every leg: one trader, one decision.

Open interest before the session: Nov 30 755 call 595 with 4,563 traded. A strike that held about the traded size was being closed; one that held almost none was being opened.

Our read is a likely new bullish call position. The call printed above the midpoint of its contemporaneous quote, supporting a buyer-initiated interpretation, although it did not trade at the ask. Session volume and the displayed block both exceed prior open interest, supporting new activity in the series. If opened long, the position benefits from a Nasdaq rally and can lose its entire premium if the call expires out of the money. Its expiration breakeven includes the premium paid; the strike alone is not a price target. Opening status and initiator direction remain inferred, and the payoff assumes a new long position.

The evidence. Only the fully visible call print is logged. Its execution quote comes from the tape; the later option-chain screenshot supplies prior open interest and cumulative session volume. The later chain quote is not used to classify the earlier trade. Volume and open interest are retained at capture and are not refreshed with daily marks. The screenshot clock is interpreted as Pacific time and converted to Eastern, consistent with earlier entries. The chain capture time uses the screenshot timestamp. Subsequent open-interest changes reflect all activity in the series, not this block alone. The order filled 33% of the way from the price at which the read's initiator crosses the whole quote (−$2.41M) to the price at which they are paid it (−$2.38M): below the midpoint, which supports the read.

The other read. The block could be seller-initiated, including a covered call or part of a larger position whose other trades are not shown. Intraday opening and closing activity can also produce volume above prior open interest, so the displayed size does not by itself establish a new directional long.

03

Scenarios to the Nov 30 expiry

Where QQQ would end if it moved evenly to each level by Nov 30, 2026, and what the position would make or lose there. The solid line is the breakeven.

QQQ at expiry: the price and what the position makes or loses

Closes through Oct 27 · scenarios to Nov 30
POSITION LOSES AT EXPIRYPOSITION PROFITS AT EXPIRY612720828AugSepOctNovTrade$721.25$611.97 · −$2.40M$647.96 · −$2.40M$683.96 · −$2.40M$719.96 · −$2.40M$755.96 · −$1.96M$791.96 · +$14.46M$827.95 · +$30.89Mbreakeven $760.26
QQQthe Nasdaq-100 −15%: $611.97, −$2.40Mthe Nasdaq-100 −10%: $647.96, −$2.40Mthe Nasdaq-100 −5%: $683.96, −$2.40Mthe Nasdaq-100 flat: $719.96, −$2.40Mthe Nasdaq-100 +5%: $755.96, −$1.96Mthe Nasdaq-100 +10%: $791.96, +$14.46Mthe Nasdaq-100 +15%: $827.95, +$30.89MBreakeven $760.26
QQQ closes on today's split basis, the one its strikes use, with even paths to each level by expiry. Illustrations, not forecasts.
the Nasdaq-100 by Nov 30QQQPosition at expiry
−15%$611.97−$2.40M
−10%$647.96−$2.40M
−5%$683.96−$2.40M
flat$719.96−$2.40M
+5%$755.96−$1.96M
+10%$791.96+$14.46M
+15%$827.95+$30.89M
04

What the position makes or loses

Breakeven at the Nov 30 expiry: QQQ at $760.26 (+5.6% from entry). Behaves like long 104,082 QQQ shares ($74.93M).

Profit or loss by QQQ's price
Hover the chart for any price
$0+$10M+$20M+$30M$650−10%$700−3%$750+4%$800+11%QQQ price at expiry (top) · move from the trade (bottom)entry $719.96now $721.25breakeven $760.26
At the Nov 30 expiryToday (Oct 27), at the options' current volatility

Profit or loss of the open position against what it was opened for, across QQQ prices from $611.97 to $827.95. The second axis is the move from the trade's price. Black-Scholes on each leg's implied volatility at the fed funds rate.

05

Since the trade

First mark on Oct 27, 2026: +$160K. The chart starts with the second session.

06

Source

Options time and sales and an option-chain snapshot from a U.S. brokerage's trading platform, entered by hand. Marks from daily option bars; the closing price from our price files. Page data as of Oct 27, 2026. All bets →