Rotation map
1M impulse · 6M trendBoth axes show excess return versus SPY. Upper-left sectors are newly emerging; lower-right sectors retain a six-month lead but have begun to fade.
Compare the Select Sector SPDR ETFs on equal footing: every line is rebased to 0% at the start of the selected window, with SPY dashed as the benchmark. Use the spread to see leadership, then cross-check whether that leadership is broad, new, or unusually risky.
As of market close on October 5, 2026, 10 of 11 sectors closed higher. The daily leader was XLB at +1.31%; XLRE lagged at -0.34%. Year to date, XLE leads at +41.91% while XLY trails at -7.53%. 2 of 11 sectors are ahead of SPY's +13.62%, a concentrated leadership profile.
Energy returned +42.0%, +26.6 pp versus SPY.
Comparable window starts 2025-10-06 (calendar cutoff; the table below uses fixed trading-session lookbacks, so its figures can differ slightly). Price returns, dividends excluded. Relative leadership is not a forecast or a standalone buy signal.
Close-price returns; dividends excluded. Interactive windows use calendar cutoffs, while the table uses fixed trading-session lookbacks. On MAX, each late-starting ETF joins at its first observation and begins at 0%.
How many of the 11 sectors are outperforming SPY over the 1Y window — the green band counts beaters, the red band laggards. Broad leadership means participation is distributed across the market; a thin green band means a handful of heavyweights are carrying the index. Right now 3 of 11 sectors are beating SPY. The common comparison starts 2025-10-06.
The rotation map separates a fresh one-month impulse from an established six-month trend, while the risk map asks whether the selected-window return came with more or less realized volatility than SPY. Together they distinguish durable leadership from a fast rebound or a volatile outlier.
Both axes show excess return versus SPY. Upper-left sectors are newly emerging; lower-right sectors retain a six-month lead but have begun to fade.
SPY's dashed crosshairs divide the field. Upper-left points delivered more return with less day-to-day volatility; hover a point for its worst peak-to-trough drawdown.
Common comparison period: 2025-10-06 to 2026-10-05. Volatility is annualized from daily close returns; short-window estimates can move quickly.
| ETF | Close | 1D | 1W | 1M ▼ | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | $200.93 | +0.56% | +3.29% | +8.04% | +12.14% | +46.90% | +39.56% | +40.43% |
| SPY | $774.83 | +0.67% | +1.20% | +0.21% | +3.63% | +17.59% | +13.62% | +15.78% |
| XLC | $111.61 | +1.17% | +0.39% | -1.56% | +0.53% | -0.13% | -5.19% | -4.16% |
| XLE | $63.45 | +1.00% | +2.17% | -1.81% | +16.12% | +6.32% | +41.91% | +43.49% |
| XLI | $170.10 | +0.09% | +0.78% | -2.55% | -6.73% | +3.34% | +9.66% | +10.31% |
| XLV | $167.37 | +0.72% | -2.27% | -3.40% | +1.78% | +14.42% | +8.12% | +16.89% |
| XLP | $81.04 | +0.63% | -1.51% | -4.95% | -4.50% | -1.96% | +4.33% | +3.98% |
| XLY | $110.42 | +0.35% | +1.30% | -5.19% | -5.94% | +1.27% | -7.53% | -7.75% |
| XLB | $49.50 | +1.31% | +0.06% | -5.93% | -3.90% | -1.43% | +9.15% | +10.34% |
| XLU | $39.97 | +0.35% | +1.83% | -7.11% | -12.54% | -13.43% | -6.37% | -9.06% |
| XLF | $53.88 | +0.73% | -0.57% | -7.99% | -3.87% | +8.02% | -1.62% | +0.99% |
| XLRE | $40.67 | -0.34% | -1.64% | -8.09% | -9.40% | -2.61% | +0.79% | -2.96% |
Energy returned +42.0%, +26.6 pp versus SPY.
Comparable window starts 2025-10-06 (calendar cutoff; the table below uses fixed trading-session lookbacks, so its figures can differ slightly). Price returns, dividends excluded. Relative leadership is not a forecast or a standalone buy signal.