How Many Stocks Are Beating the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq-100?
The share of stocks whose return over the last one, three, six or twelve months beat their index’s. Around half is normal. Well under half means a few large companies carried the index while most of its stocks trailed it: a narrow market, and a hard year for anyone picking stocks.
Narrow below 35%, leaning narrow below 45%, even to 55%, broad above. Since 1926, narrow readings have not been followed by a weaker market.
Latest read
On October 16, 2026, 38.7% of S&P 500 members had beaten SPY over the last 12 months, against a median of 53.2% since 2010; the index returned +14.7% and the median member +7.9%. Across all US stocks the share was 33.4% (median 36.9%), for Nasdaq-100 members 46.5% and for all Nasdaq-listed stocks 29.3% against QQQ. Over one month, 56.3% of S&P 500 members beat the index. On the industry record since 1926, the share stood at 30.6% at the end of August 2026, in the bottom 6% of all readings; the lows were 16.3% in February 2000 and 16.3% in January 2024.
Sources, methodology & freshnessDaily closes for every listed US common stock and ADR (TradeStation, Massive), SPY and QQQ; dated listings from our A-D reference; Ken French Data Library (49 industries, CRSP market). · Daily after the close; the industry record monthly.Data as of 2026-10-16 · Open ↓Close ↑
Every universe, every window
| Universe | 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | 12-mo median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All US stocks vs SPY | 30% | 29% | 28% | 33% | 37% |
| S&P 500 members* vs SPY | 56% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 53% |
| Nasdaq-100 members* vs QQQ | 53% | 43% | 39% | 47% | 50% |
| All Nasdaq-listed stocks vs QQQ | 29% | 27% | 25% | 29% | 32% |
Price returns over 21, 63, 126 and 252 sessions, stock against index fund. All US and all Nasdaq-listed stocks count a stock only when it was listed at both ends of the window. *Today’s members carried back, so older readings look healthier than they were. The all-stock shares sit lower than the member shares in a normal market: small companies trail the index more often than large ones.
The share over time, by universe
The 12-month share, the version usually quoted, with the index fund in the upper pane. The shorter windows are in the table above.
All US stocks beating SPY
S&P 500 members beating SPY
Nasdaq-100 members beating QQQ
All Nasdaq-listed stocks beating QQQ
A century of narrow markets
Our stock records start in 2010. For the long view, the same count on Ken French’s 49 US industry portfolios against the whole US market, dividends included, every session since 1926. It moves with the S&P 500 member share and has no survivorship gap. The two lowest readings on it are February 2000 (16.3%) and January 2024 (16.3%).
What the market did after narrow readings
Narrow has not meant weak. On the industry record, days in the narrowest tenth of 12-month readings, each ranked only against the days before it, were followed by a median market return of +14.5% over the next year, against +13.4% for every day. Narrow readings with the market within 3% of its record did about as well: 23 of 26 episodes were higher a year later, the exceptions September 1972, September 2000, March 2019. The broadest tenth was the weaker set (+11.4%), because most stocks beat a cap-weighted index when its largest stocks are falling.
| 12-month industry share | Days | Next quarter | Next 6 months | Next year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every day | 25,065 | +3.3%68% up | +6.4%71% up | +13.4%76% up |
| Bottom tenth (narrowest)(41 episodes) | 3,408 | +4.4%74% up | +8.1%81% up | +14.5%82% up |
| Top tenth (broadest)(34 episodes) | 2,876 | +1.3%57% up | +3.5%60% up | +11.4%71% up |
| Every day within 3% of a record | 9,349 | +3.3%72% up | +6.7%77% up | +12.7%78% up |
| Bottom tenth within 3% of a record(26 episodes) | 1,614 | +3.5%73% up | +6.5%85% up | +13.7%90% up |
The result also changes with the era, which is why no threshold here is offered as a signal. Over the next year, against each era’s own average day:
From 1990 onward, narrow readings ran 4.4 points ahead of the average year and broad ones 12.9 points behind it; in 1927–1949 and 1950–1989 the narrow ones trailed. The same narrowness shows up as a return gap on Equal Weight vs Cap Weight.
Limits
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 series use today’s members. Companies that trailed and were removed are missing, so past readings run high and today’s lows look rarer than they were.
- The all-stock series count only listings in our dated reference, from November 2016, and our price files hold few companies that have since failed, so they also read somewhat high.
- Stock and index returns are price returns. A high-dividend stock can trail SPY on price and still beat it with dividends.
- The industry record is industries, not stocks: 49 portfolios rather than thousands of companies. It tracks the member series closely enough to show the history but is not the same count.
Narrow below 35%, leaning narrow below 45%, even to 55%, broad above. Since 1926, narrow readings have not been followed by a weaker market.
How Stocks Beating the Index Works
- 1Compare each stock with its indexFor every stock in a universe, its price return over the window (21, 63, 126 or 252 sessions) is compared with the index fund's over the same window: SPY for all US stocks and S&P 500 members, QQQ for Nasdaq-100 members and all Nasdaq-listed stocks. Dividends are left out on both sides.
- 2Count the share that wonThe reading is the share of stocks whose return beat the index's. Half is the even split; well under half means a few large stocks carried the index while most of its members trailed it.
- 3Use dated listings where we canAll US stocks and all Nasdaq-listed stocks count a stock only if it was listed at both ends of the window, from our dated listing reference, which starts in November 2016. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 versions use today's members, carried back to 2010.
- 4Check it against a century of industriesThe same count on Ken French's 49 US industry portfolios against the whole US market, dividends included, runs daily since 1926 and has no survivorship problem. It is the record the forward study is graded on. French publishes monthly, so it runs one to two months behind.