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RiskUpdated daily after close · as of 2026-07-10

Single-Stock Volatility Premium: What the Options Market Charges for Names Over the Index

The VIXEQ − VIX spread: the average implied volatility of the S&P 500's individual members minus the index's own implied volatility, daily since 2014 — paired with Cboe's implied correlation index (COR3M) back to 2006. A wide premium means the market is pricing big single-name swings that cancel at the index level: correlation near zero, calm manufactured by dispersion.

Today's reading

As of 2026-07-10, the premium is 33.9 points — VIXEQ 49.0 vs VIX 15.0 — the 100th percentile of its history and 4.8 standard deviations above the mean, within a point of the all-time record (34.1, 2026-07-09). Implied correlation reads 7.2 vs a long-run mean of 41 — the lowest print in the entire series since 2006. The options market has rarely priced US stocks to move this independently of each other.

Sources, methodology & freshnessLast updated 2026-07-10 · Open ↓
Source
Cboe index histories (VIXEQ 2014+, VIX 1990+, COR3M 2006+) via Cboe's public data service; own SPY history for the study
Methodology
Premium = VIXEQ − VIX daily; implied correlation quoted directly as COR3M; percentile and z-score vs full history; forward SPY returns by premium percentile band (full-sample bands, overlapping windows)
Updates
Daily after US market close (~1pm PT)Last: 2026-07-10
Maintained & reviewed by Yuriy Matso — methodology shown on the page.
Vol premiumas of 2026-07-10
33.9
pts
Record dispersion100th percentile since 2014
VIXEQ
49.0
VIX
15.0
Correlation
7.2

Diversification suppresses index vol below average single-stock vol by construction — the premium is never zero. Its SIZE is the price of correlation, and it is currently at the top of its recorded range.

01

The premium — VIXEQ minus VIX since 2014

Single-name implied volatility over index implied volatility, daily. The mean is about 13 points; readings near 34 mean the options market expects individual stocks to swing wildly while the index barely moves — a stock-picker's tape priced to an extreme.

Range:
5.119.533.9201420162018202020222024202633.9
VIXEQ − VIX, daily (2014-06-19 → 2026-07-10). Current: 33.9 pts, 100th percentile, z 4.8. Record: 34.1 (2026-07-09).
02

Implied correlation — the same story since 2006

Cboe's COR3M quotes the phenomenon directly: the average stock-to-stock correlation implied by option prices over the next three months. It is the longer lens — covering the 2007-09 cycle — and the one that makes today unambiguous: the lower the reading, the more completely diversification is doing the index's hedging. Correlation snaps toward 1 in every crisis, which is why the lows print in melt-ups, not panics.

Range:
7.246.886.4200620082010201220142016201820202022202420262007COVID7.2
Cboe 3-month implied correlation (2006-01-03 → 2026-07-10). Current: 7.2 vs a 41 long-run mean — record low 7.2 (2026-07-10). Spikes mark crises, when every stock moves together.
03

What happened next — SPY after each premium band

The honest test, run before shipping: average SPY forward returns from every day since 2014, grouped by the premium's percentile that day. The answer is that there is no reliable directional edge — extreme dispersion preceded slightly soft 1-month returns and roughly baseline 6-month returns. This is a regime and fragility gauge, not a timing signal, and we'd rather show you that than imply otherwise.

Premium that dayDaysFwd 1mFwd 3mFwd 6m
Extreme (90th+)Today303+0.43%+2.62%+7.07%
Elevated (75–90th)454+1.55%+3.24%+7.09%
Middle (25–75th)1516+0.92%+3.20%+5.67%
Bottom quartile (<25th)759+1.18%+2.79%+5.82%

Overlapping windows — adjacent days share most of their forward path. Extreme-band days cluster in 2024–26 and many lack resolved long horizons; treat the extreme row as provisional until this regime finishes.

04

What a record premium does — and does not — mean

A record-wide premium is not a crash prediction — the table above shows that plainly. What it describes is fragility of the calm: today's low index volatility is manufactured by single-name moves cancelling each other, not by actual quiet. When a macro shock re-correlates the market, that cancellation disappears and index volatility jumps from a suppressed base — the mechanics behind every dispersion unwind. It also marks the dispersion trade at maximum crowding, and it usually travels with high index concentration: read it next to the Bubble Tracker and the Tech Volatility Spread for the full concentrated-market picture.

How Single-Stock Volatility Premium Works

  1. 1
    Average the single-stock vols
    Cboe's VIXEQ index is the weighted average implied volatility of the S&P 500's individual member stocks — the same 30-day options math as the VIX, applied name by name instead of to index options.
  2. 2
    Subtract the index vol
    The premium is VIXEQ minus VIX. Index volatility is always lower than average single-stock volatility because stocks partially cancel each other out — diversification. The size of the gap is the price of that diversification.
  3. 3
    Read it as correlation
    A wide premium means the market expects stocks to move independently — big single-name swings that net out at the index level. That is mathematically the same statement as low implied correlation, which Cboe quotes directly as COR3M (history to 2006, covering the 2007-09 cycle).
  4. 4
    Put it in context
    The page shows both series against their full history — percentile, z-score, records — plus what SPY actually did after each premium band, so a "record dispersion" headline can be checked against base rates.

Who Uses Single-Stock Volatility Premium

Options traders
The macro read behind dispersion trades: a record premium means selling index vol against single-name vol is maximally crowded — entry economics and unwind risk in one number.
Risk managers
Record-low implied correlation means index-level hedges are cheap because diversification is doing the hedging — until correlation snaps to 1 in a selloff and the index gaps. A fragility gauge for hedge sizing.
Equity investors
A wide premium is the options market pricing a stock-picker's tape — earnings gaps, single-name blowups, sector rotation — rather than index-level trend. Context for position concentration.
Market watchers
The premium widening to records alongside valuation extremes is the "calm index, wild components" signature that has accompanied concentrated melt-ups.

Pro Tips

01
Correlation snaps to one in a crisis
The premium collapses in selloffs — every stock falls together, single-stock vol and index vol converge. So a record-wide premium is a peace-time reading by construction; its information is about regime fragility, not direction.
02
Check both windows
VIXEQ starts in 2014, but COR3M reaches back to 2006 — the correlation view is the one that lets you compare today against the pre-GFC regime, when implied correlation also printed its era lows in early 2007.
03
No clean timing edge — deliberately shown
Our forward-return table shows extreme premium readings preceded slightly soft 1-month returns and roughly baseline 6-month returns. It is a regime descriptor. If we found no edge, the page says so.
04
Pair it with concentration gauges
A record premium usually travels with record index concentration. Read it alongside the tech share of the S&P and the Bubble Tracker's valuation score for the full concentrated-market picture.

Common Issues & Solutions

Why is single-stock vol always higher than the VIX?
Diversification: individual stock moves partially cancel inside an index, so index volatility is mechanically lower than the average of its members' volatilities. The premium is never the anomaly — its SIZE is.
Is this the same as the dispersion trade?
It is the dispersion trade's scoreboard. Dispersion desks sell index volatility and buy single-name volatility, profiting when correlation stays low. A record premium means that trade is priced at its most extreme — crowded, by definition.
Why does the premium history start in 2014?
Cboe launched VIXEQ with history back to June 2014. For a longer view of the same phenomenon the page includes COR3M implied correlation back to 2006 — low correlation and a wide premium are the same statement in different units.
Does a record premium predict a selloff?
Historically, no — the forward-return table on the page shows no reliable directional edge. What it describes is fragility: when correlation is priced near zero, any shock that makes stocks move together again forces index vol sharply higher from a suppressed base.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the single-stock volatility premium?
The Cboe VIXEQ index (the average implied volatility of the S&P 500's individual members) minus the VIX (the index's own implied volatility). The gap exists because diversification suppresses index volatility; its size measures how independently the options market expects stocks to move.
What does a record-high premium mean?
That implied correlation is priced near record lows — the market expects big single-stock moves that cancel out at the index level. It is the signature of a concentrated, dispersion-heavy tape, and it means index-level calm is being manufactured by offsetting single-name violence rather than by actual quiet.
What is the implied correlation index (COR3M)?
Cboe's direct quote of the same phenomenon: the average correlation between S&P 500 stocks implied by the gap between index option prices and single-stock option prices, over a 3-month window. History back to 2006. Low COR3M and a wide VIXEQ−VIX premium are the same statement.
Is a wide premium bullish or bearish?
Neither, reliably — our forward-return study shows extreme readings preceded roughly baseline returns. Its value is as a fragility gauge: when correlation is priced at zero, a shock that re-correlates the market forces index volatility up violently from a suppressed base, which is how dispersion unwinds have historically played out.
Where does the data come from?
Cboe's official index histories (VIXEQ, VIX and COR3M), fetched daily from Cboe's public data service, joined with our own SPY history for the forward-return study.
How often is it updated?
Daily after the US close, with the full Cboe history refreshed on every run so revisions and late prints are always incorporated.

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Last updated: 2026-07-10