thetrading.tools
EconomyObservation: Q2 2026 · Released: August 11, 2026 · Page updated: October 19, 2026

Auto Loan Delinquency

Who is falling behind on car loans, who is getting new ones, and what they cost. Most auto credit comes from captive finance companies, credit unions and specialist lenders rather than commercial banks, so the credit files are the measure that covers the whole market.

Auto Loan DelinquencyQ2 2026 · out August 11
5.49%
of auto loan balances 90+ days late, all lenders
3.00%
newly 90+ days late over the year, 2.35% in 2019
3 of 3
delinquency measures more than 10% above their 2019 average, 1 near its record
MeasureLatest2019vs 2019
Balance 90+ days late5.49%4.75%Over 10% aboveNear record
Newly 90+ days late, annualized3.00%2.35%Over 10% above
Newly 30+ days late, annualized7.87%6.97%Over 10% above

Counted: latest more than 10% over a positive 2019 average. Up to 10% above and at or below 2019 are shown, not counted; a series whose 2019 average is zero or negative has no base. Near record: at least 90% of the series high. Counted, never scored. Descriptions, not forecasts.

Latest reading

In Q2 2026, 5.49% of auto loan balances were 90 or more days late in credit files, against a 2019 average of 4.75% and a record of 5.60% in Q1 2026. Over the four quarters to Q2 2026, 3.00% of balances newly became seriously late, against 2.93% a year earlier. Balances stood at $1.71T, +3.5% on a year and +1.7% on the quarter.

Sources, methodology & freshnessNew York Fed Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit (Equifax credit files); Federal Reserve bank delinquency, charge-off, G.19 and SLOOS series via FRED · Quarterly; the Q2 2026 report was published 42 days after the quarter ended. Release dates before the latest report are estimated as quarter end + 40 days; the latest quarter uses the report monthData as of Q2 2026, released August 11, 2026 · Open ↓
Source
New York Fed Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit (Equifax credit files); Federal Reserve bank delinquency, charge-off, G.19 and SLOOS series via FRED
Methodology
Borrower and lender series charted side by side, never blended; measures counted against their 2019 average and record by a printed rule
Updates
Quarterly; the Q2 2026 report was published 42 days after the quarter ended. Release dates before the latest report are estimated as quarter end + 40 days; the latest quarter uses the report monthData as of Q2 2026, released August 11, 2026Site refreshed October 19, 2026
Maintained & reviewed by Yuriy Matso — methodology shown on the page.
01

Late payments in credit files

Balances 90+ days late: 5.49% in Q2 2026, +0.50 pts on a year, the 99th percentile of 94 readings since 2003. Newly 30+ days late over the year: 7.87% in Q2 2026, −0.09 pts on a year, the 70th percentile of 94 readings since 2003. A car loan 90 days late is at risk of repossession. The flow measures count balances that newly crossed 30 and 90 days late during the year, annualized.

Share of auto loan balances 90+ days late, %
Range:
1.4%5.1%8.7%20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)7475.49%3.3%
Percent of auto loan balances 90 or more days delinquent, with all household debt for comparison, quarterly. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
Newly delinquent balances over the past year, %
Range:
1.5%6.2%10.8%20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)7473.00%7.9%
Percent of balances that newly became 90+ and 30+ days delinquent, four-quarter sums, quarterly. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
02

Who is falling behind, by age

In Q2 2026, the highest rate was ages 18–29 at 4.83% and the lowest ages 60–69 at 1.77%. Each line is the share of that age group’s auto balances that newly became 90+ days late over the last four quarters.

Balances newly 90+ days late over the past year, by age, %
Range:
0.7%3.1%5.6%20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)7474.83%3.9%2.8%2.2%1.8%2.4%3.0%
Transition into serious delinquency (90+) for auto loans by borrower age, four-quarter moving sum, quarterly. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
03

On bank books

Bank consumer loans other than cards 30+ days late: 2.33% in Q2 2026, −0.05 pts on a year, the 39th percentile of 142 readings since 1991. The Federal Reserve does not publish an auto delinquency rate for banks. The closest series covers bank consumer loans other than cards, which mixes auto loans with other installment credit, and is shown for context only.

Bank consumer loans other than cards, 30+ days late, %
Range:
1.5%2.6%3.7%1995200020052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)7472.33%
Delinquency rate on consumer loans other than credit cards at all US commercial banks, seasonally adjusted, quarterly. Mixes auto loans with other installment credit. Federal Reserve (DROCLACBS). Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
04

How much is owed

Balance outstanding: $1.71T in Q2 2026, +3.5% on a year, the 100th percentile of 94 readings since 2003. Open accounts: 109.0M, +0.8% on a year.

Auto Loan balances, $ trillions
Range:
0.6T1.2T1.7T20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)747$1.71T
Auto loan balances outstanding in credit files. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
Open accounts, millions
Range:
70.8M93.6M116.4M20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)747109.0M
Number of open accounts in credit files, not de-duplicated for joint accounts, quarterly. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
05

New lending and credit scores

New auto loans: $210.8B in Q2 2026, +12.2% on a year. 16.13% went to borrowers scoring below 620; under the previous score model the share peaked at 31.85% in Q2 2006. The median score at origination was 716. New loans are counted by the borrower’s credit score at origination. The New York Fed switched from Equifax Riskscore 3.0 to VantageScore 4.0 from the first quarter of 2026, so band volumes and score percentiles before and after that quarter are not comparable; the charts mark the change.

Originations by credit score, $ billions
Range:
7.2B46.6B86.1B20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)747Score$34.0B27.5B40.1B23.1B86.1B
Origination volume by borrower credit score at origination, quarterly. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
Share of new loans to low scores, %
Range:
14.5%30.5%46.6%20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)747Score16.13%29.2%
Originations to scores below 620 and below 660 as a share of all originations, computed from the volumes above. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
Credit score at origination
Range:
522626730200020052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)747Score716639580
Median, 25th and 10th percentile credit score of new loans, quarterly. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
Originations by borrower age, $ billions
Range:
2.7B26.3B49.8B20052010201520202025SPY (top pane, log)747$31.7B47.7B49.8B39.1B26.1B16.0B
Origination volume by borrower age, quarterly. New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax. Latest: Q2 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
06

The price and supply of credit

New-car loan rate at banks, 60 months: 7.54% in Q3 2026, −0.10 pts on a year, the 80th percentile of 81 readings since 2006. Banks tightening standards, net: -4.5% in Q3 2026. Loan rates are the average new-car rate at commercial banks from the G.19 release, which understates what subprime borrowers pay at specialist lenders. The standards line is the net share of banks tightening auto loan standards in the senior loan officer survey.

Loan rate, %
Range:
4%6.3%8.7%2008201020122014201620182020202220242026SPY (top pane, log)7667.54%7.5%
New-car loan rate at banks, 60 months, monthly. Federal Reserve G.19 (RIFLPBCIANM60NM); Federal Reserve G.19 (TERMCBAUTO48NS). Latest: Q4 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
Net share of banks tightening standards, %
Range:
-22.8%16.3%55.4%20122014201620182020202220242026SPY (top pane, log)763-4.50%
Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey: net percentage of domestic banks tightening standards, quarterly. Federal Reserve SLOOS (STDSAUTO). Latest: Q3 2026. Each reading is plotted at the end of the period it covers.
07

How the numbers are built

Borrower side. The New York Fed's Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit reads a random five percent sample of Equifax credit files, so it covers every lender: banks, credit unions, finance companies and the federal government. Its delinquency shares are of balances, not of borrowers. Each reading covers a quarter and is plotted on the quarter's last day; the New York Fed publishes it weeks later (the Q2 2026 report on August 11, 2026), so the charts show when each period ended, not when it became known.

Lender side. Where the Federal Reserve publishes a bank series for this loan type, it is charted beside the credit files and never combined with them. Banks count loans 30+ days late on their own books, seasonally adjusted.

The answer card counts delinquency measures above their 2019 average and near their record by the rule printed under it, the same rule as the Delinquency Tracker. No forward study ships with this page: the series are quarterly and hold three recessions, too few to test one.

Download the series: auto-loans.json.

How Auto Loan Delinquency Works

  1. 1
    Start with the answer card
    Each row is one measure at its latest quarter, against its 2019 average and its own record, with the printed rule that marks it above 2019 or near its record. The rows are counted, never blended into a score.
  2. 2
    Read the borrower side
    The New York Fed reads a five percent sample of Equifax credit files every quarter, so it sees every lender. Its headline is the share of balances 90 or more days late, and its flow measures show how much newly fell behind during the year.
  3. 3
    Compare the lender side
    Where the Federal Reserve publishes bank figures, they sit beside the credit-file series rather than inside them: banks count loans 30 or more days late on their own books and lend mostly to prime borrowers.

Who Uses Auto Loan Delinquency

Credit and ABS investors
Follow the flow into serious delinquency and the subprime share of new loans, the two ingredients of future losses in auto pools.
Economy watchers
See whether stress in car loans is concentrated among younger borrowers, and whether lenders are pulling back.
Auto industry analysts
Track origination volume by credit score next to loan rates to see who can still finance a car.

Pro Tips

01
Watch the subprime share
Borrowers with low scores fall behind more often, so the share of new loans to scores below 620 shows how much of that risk lenders are taking on.
02
Compare age groups
A rise confined to younger borrowers reads differently from a rise across every age.
03
Mind the score change
The 2026 switch to VantageScore 4.0 moved the score scale. Compare origination bands only within one scoring model.

Common Issues & Solutions

Why is there no bank auto delinquency rate?▾
The Federal Reserve publishes bank delinquency for cards, residential real estate and all other consumer loans together, not for auto loans alone. Commercial banks also hold a minority of auto credit.
Why are subprime auto ABS delinquencies not here?▾
Those series come from rating agencies and are licensed. The credit files cover every lender, so they include the same borrowers.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the auto loan delinquency rate today?▾
In Q2 2026, 5.49% of auto loan balances were 90 or more days late in credit files, against a 2019 average of 4.75% and a record of 5.60% in Q1 2026. Over the four quarters to Q2 2026, 3.00% of balances newly became seriously late, against 2.93% a year earlier. Balances stood at $1.71T, +3.5% on a year and +1.7% on the quarter.
Is auto loan delinquency above its pre-pandemic level?▾
3 of the 3 delinquency measures on this page were more than 10% above their 2019 average at their latest reading: balance 90+ days late; newly 90+ days late, annualized; newly 30+ days late, annualized. 1 was within 10% of its record.
What is the auto loan delinquency rate?▾
The share of auto loan balances that are 90 or more days past due in Equifax credit files, published quarterly by the New York Fed. It covers banks, credit unions, captive finance companies and specialist lenders alike.
What is a subprime auto loan?▾
A loan to a borrower with a low credit score. This page counts new loans to scores below 620 as subprime and 620–659 as near-prime, following the New York Fed’s bands.

Explore Other Tools