Durable Goods Release Dates 2026 and Market Reaction
The next Durable Goods Orders is scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. On 330 Durable goods days since 1997, SPY's move landed in the biggest quarter of all trading days 27.9% of the time, against 25% for any day, within two standard errors (±4.8 points) of chance: by this measure a Durable goods day is indistinguishable from a normal session. The median move was 0.53% against 0.56% on all days.
August 2026, released Sep 25, 2026
Upcoming Durable goods dates
- Tuesday, October 27, 20268:30 AM ET
- Wednesday, November 25, 20268:30 AM ET
- Wednesday, December 23, 20268:30 AM ET
Schedule: FRED release 95. Release record since 1997.
Does the market move on release day?
On 330 Durable goods days since 1997, SPY's move landed in the biggest quarter of all trading days 27.9% of the time, against 25% for any day, within two standard errors (±4.8 points) of chance: by this measure a Durable goods day is indistinguishable from a normal session. The median move was 0.53% against 0.56% on all days. SPY closed higher on 58.8% of release days against 53.7% of all days. The 10-year Treasury yield moved a median 2.8 bp either way, against 3.2 bp on all days.
When the headline Durable Goods Orders came in above its prior reading (185 days), release days carried an average SPY return of +0.11%; when it came in below (145 days), an average SPY return of +0.11%.
The top quarter means a close-to-close SPY move of 1.04% or more either way, the 75th percentile of every trading day since 1993. Headline values are today's revised figures, and no consensus forecasts are used, so above and below compare each print with the previous print. This is not a surprise study: markets react to the gap between a release and what was expected.
Recent Durable goods releases
| Released | Period | Durable Goods Orders | Prior | SPY | 10-year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | August 2026 | $338B | $339B | +0.53% | +2.2 bp |
| Aug 26, 2026 | July 2026 | $339B | $336B | +0.02% | +2.5 bp |
| Jul 27, 2026 | June 2026 | $336B | $334B | +0.03% | −3.8 bp |
| Jun 25, 2026 | May 2026 | $334B | $348B | +0.14% | −1.0 bp |
| May 28, 2026 | April 2026 | $348B | $320B | +0.55% | −2.6 bp |
| Apr 29, 2026 | March 2026 | $320B | $316B | −0.02% | +6.4 bp |
| Apr 7, 2026 | February 2026 | $316B | $320B | +0.04% | +0.8 bp |
| Mar 13, 2026 | January 2026 | $320B | $321B | −0.57% | +1.2 bp |
| Feb 18, 2026 | December 2025 | $321B | $324B | +0.50% | +2.7 bp |
| Jan 26, 2026 | November 2025 | $324B | $308B | +0.51% | −2.6 bp |
| Dec 23, 2025 | October 2025 | $308B | $314B | +0.46% | 0.0 bp |
| Nov 26, 2025 | September 2025 | $314B | $312B | +0.69% | −0.4 bp |
| Sep 25, 2025 | August 2025 | $312B | $303B | −0.46% | +2.5 bp |
| Aug 26, 2025 | July 2025 | $303B | $312B | +0.42% | −1.7 bp |
| Jul 25, 2025 | June 2025 | $312B | $344B | +0.42% | −2.2 bp |
| Jun 26, 2025 | May 2025 | $344B | $295B | +0.78% | −4.0 bp |
| May 27, 2025 | April 2025 | $295B | $316B | +2.08% | −7.5 bp |
| Apr 24, 2025 | March 2025 | $316B | $294B | +2.10% | −8.2 bp |
| Mar 26, 2025 | February 2025 | $294B | $291B | −1.19% | +3.1 bp |
| Feb 27, 2025 | January 2025 | $291B | $291B | −1.60% | +3.6 bp |
| Jan 28, 2025 | December 2024 | $291B | $288B | +0.86% | +2.3 bp |
| Dec 23, 2024 | November 2024 | $288B | $293B | +0.60% | +7.5 bp |
| Nov 27, 2024 | October 2024 | $293B | $292B | −0.30% | −6.0 bp |
| Oct 25, 2024 | September 2024 | $292B | $290B | −0.03% | +3.2 bp |
Newest first. Values are today's revised data; a dash means no matched value.
What it measures
The monthly report on factory orders for goods meant to last three years or more, with core capital goods orders as a read on business investment.
- Published by
- Census Bureau (Census)
- Release time
- 8:30 AM ET
- Schedule source
- FRED release 95
- Indicator pages
- Durable Goods OrdersCore Capital Goods Orders
Frequently asked questions
When is the next Durable goods release?
The next Durable Goods Orders is scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. After that: Wednesday, November 25, 2026; Wednesday, December 23, 2026. Source: Census Bureau.
What time is the Durable goods released?
The Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders at 8:30 AM Eastern Time on its scheduled release days.
Does the stock market move on Durable goods days?
On 330 Durable goods days since 1997, SPY's move landed in the biggest quarter of all trading days 27.9% of the time, against 25% for any day, within two standard errors (±4.8 points) of chance: by this measure a Durable goods day is indistinguishable from a normal session. The median move was 0.53% against 0.56% on all days. SPY closed higher on 58.8% of release days against 53.7% of all days. The 10-year Treasury yield moved a median 2.8 bp either way, against 3.2 bp on all days.
How did the market react to the last Durable goods release?
On Friday, September 25, 2026, SPY moved +0.53% close to close and the 10-year Treasury yield +2.2 bp. The headline Durable Goods Orders read $338B against $339B before.
August 2026, released Sep 25, 2026