Case-Shiller Release Dates 2026 and Market Reaction
The next S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Home Price Indices is scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. On 191 Case-Shiller days since 2010, SPY's move landed in the biggest quarter of all trading days 25.1% of the time, against 25% for any day, within two standard errors (±6.3 points) of chance: by this measure a Case-Shiller day is indistinguishable from a normal session. The median move was 0.43% against 0.49% on all days.
Last release Sep 29, 2026. Its headline value is not matched in this record; the Case-Shiller Home Price Index page carries the latest reading.
Upcoming Case-Shiller dates
- Tuesday, October 27, 20269:00 AM ET
- Tuesday, November 24, 20269:00 AM ET
- Tuesday, December 29, 20269:00 AM ET
Schedule: FRED release 199. Release record since 2010.
Does the market move on release day?
On 191 Case-Shiller days since 2010, SPY's move landed in the biggest quarter of all trading days 25.1% of the time, against 25% for any day, within two standard errors (±6.3 points) of chance: by this measure a Case-Shiller day is indistinguishable from a normal session. The median move was 0.43% against 0.49% on all days. SPY closed higher on 53.9% of release days against 54.9% of all days. The 10-year Treasury yield moved a median 2.8 bp either way, against 3.1 bp on all days.
When the headline Case-Shiller Home Price Index came in above its prior reading (110 days), release days carried an average SPY return of −0.11%; when it came in below (35 days), an average SPY return of +0.18%.
The top quarter means a close-to-close SPY move of 1.04% or more either way, the 75th percentile of every trading day since 1993. Headline values are today's revised figures, and no consensus forecasts are used, so above and below compare each print with the previous print. This is not a surprise study: markets react to the gap between a release and what was expected.
Recent Case-Shiller releases
| Released | Period | Case-Shiller Home Price Index | Prior | SPY | 10-year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | — | — | — | −0.18% | +1.5 bp |
| Aug 25, 2026 | — | — | — | +0.32% | −6.5 bp |
| Jul 28, 2026 | May 2026 | 335.6 | 333.1 | +0.24% | −3.7 bp |
| Jun 30, 2026 | April 2026 | 333.1 | 330.4 | +0.78% | +4.4 bp |
| May 26, 2026 | March 2026 | 330.4 | 327.8 | +0.66% | −6.5 bp |
| Apr 28, 2026 | February 2026 | 327.8 | 326.8 | −0.49% | +1.8 bp |
| Mar 31, 2026 | January 2026 | 326.8 | 327.0 | +2.91% | −3.1 bp |
| Feb 24, 2026 | December 2025 | 327.0 | 327.9 | +0.73% | +0.4 bp |
| Jan 27, 2026 | November 2025 | 327.9 | 328.2 | +0.40% | +1.0 bp |
| Dec 30, 2025 | October 2025 | 328.2 | 328.9 | −0.12% | +1.4 bp |
| Nov 25, 2025 | September 2025 | 328.9 | 329.8 | +0.94% | −3.6 bp |
| Oct 28, 2025 | August 2025 | 329.8 | 330.9 | +0.27% | −1.4 bp |
| Sep 30, 2025 | July 2025 | 330.9 | 331.6 | +0.38% | +0.7 bp |
| Aug 26, 2025 | June 2025 | 331.6 | 331.4 | +0.42% | −1.7 bp |
| Jul 29, 2025 | May 2025 | 331.4 | 329.8 | −0.26% | −9.0 bp |
| Jun 24, 2025 | April 2025 | 329.8 | 327.7 | +1.10% | −2.7 bp |
| May 27, 2025 | March 2025 | 327.7 | 325.1 | +2.08% | −7.5 bp |
| Apr 29, 2025 | February 2025 | 325.1 | 323.6 | +0.63% | −4.3 bp |
| Mar 25, 2025 | January 2025 | 323.6 | 323.3 | +0.24% | −2.4 bp |
| Feb 25, 2025 | December 2024 | 323.3 | 323.7 | −0.50% | −9.5 bp |
| Jan 28, 2025 | November 2024 | 323.7 | 323.9 | +0.86% | +2.3 bp |
| Dec 31, 2024 | October 2024 | 323.9 | 324.6 | −0.36% | +2.8 bp |
| Nov 26, 2024 | September 2024 | 324.6 | 325.0 | +0.52% | +3.7 bp |
| Oct 29, 2024 | August 2024 | 325.0 | 325.6 | +0.16% | −0.4 bp |
Newest first. Values are today's revised data; a dash means no matched value.
What it measures
The monthly repeat-sales index of US home prices, published with a two-month lag on the last Tuesday of the month.
- Published by
- S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI)
- Release time
- 9:00 AM ET
- Schedule source
- FRED release 199
- Indicator pages
- Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Frequently asked questions
When is the next Case-Shiller release?
The next S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Home Price Indices is scheduled for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. After that: Tuesday, November 24, 2026; Tuesday, December 29, 2026. Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices.
What time is the Case-Shiller released?
The S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Home Price Indices at 9:00 AM Eastern Time on its scheduled release days.
Does the stock market move on Case-Shiller days?
On 191 Case-Shiller days since 2010, SPY's move landed in the biggest quarter of all trading days 25.1% of the time, against 25% for any day, within two standard errors (±6.3 points) of chance: by this measure a Case-Shiller day is indistinguishable from a normal session. The median move was 0.43% against 0.49% on all days. SPY closed higher on 53.9% of release days against 54.9% of all days. The 10-year Treasury yield moved a median 2.8 bp either way, against 3.1 bp on all days.
How did the market react to the last Case-Shiller release?
On Tuesday, September 29, 2026, SPY moved −0.18% close to close and the 10-year Treasury yield +1.5 bp.
Last release Sep 29, 2026. Its headline value is not matched in this record; the Case-Shiller Home Price Index page carries the latest reading.