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Options BetsOct 20, 2026 · 10:43:32 ET · VOYALikely read

VOYA calls rolled down and out: a holder doubled down into December

Logged Oct 20, 2026 at 10:43 ET with VOYA at $95.45. The position it leaves is long 10,000 Dec 18 105 calls, bullish on VOYA: the prints, what most likely happened, scenarios to expiry and the payoff follow.

VOYA betOpen · +$290K on Oct 20

Now long 10,000 Dec 18 105 calls: bullish on VOYA.

Money behind it
$2.41Mpremium paid, all it can lose; behaves like 295,400 VOYA shares long today ($28.20M)
Potential profit
Unlimited+$2.36M if VOYA rises 15% by Dec 18
Max risk
−$2.41Mthe premium, if VOYA ends at or below $105.00 on Dec 18
Capital behind it
$2.41M$2.41M premium paid
Return, 59 days
+98%on the premium paid, if VOYA rises 15% by Dec 18; −100% if flat
Breakeven
$107.41+12.5% from $95.45
The trade
$3.09Mpremium across 20,000 contracts; −$1.73M net cash paid

Side read from the fill, not reported by the tape. Computed from the logged prints. Not advice.

01

The trade

Roll: sell the Nov 20 110 call, buy the Dec 18 105 call, same size, one complex order on PHLX.

Time (ET)OptionQtyPriceExchangeMarketDeltaIVVOYARead
10:43:32Nov 20 110 call10,0000.68PHLX0.65 × 1.100.1339.9%95.45Sold to close
10:43:32Dec 18 105 call10,0002.41PHLX2.00 × 2.450.2936.3%95.45Bought to open
TotalNov 20 110 call10,0000.68PHLX0.65 × 1.100.1339.9%$680K premium
TotalDec 18 105 call10,0002.41PHLX2.00 × 2.450.3036.3%$2.41M premium

Every print of the order as it crossed the tape, in the time-and-sales layout. Prices in green printed at the ask, in red at the bid. Delta and implied volatility are solved from each print's own price against VOYA at $95.45 (Black-Scholes, fed funds, no dividend), so they differ slightly from a broker's. Totals weight price and quote by size. "Read" is our reading of the side, explained next.

02

What most likely happened

At 10:43 ET, 10,000 Nov 20 110 calls and 10,000 Dec 18 105 calls traded together in one order on PHLX, the same size on every leg: one trader, one decision.

Earlier, at 10:30 ET: 1,150 Dec 18 105 calls at $2.00 on PHLX (quote 1.20 × 2.35), most likely the same buyer starting the December position before the roll. It is not counted in this bet's figures.

Open interest before the session: Nov 20 110 call 10,101 with 10,000 traded; Dec 18 105 call 3 with 10,000 traded. A strike that held about the traded size was being closed; one that held almost none was being opened.

Likely read. A holder of out-of-the-money November calls sold the whole position and, in the same order, bought the same number of December calls at a lower strike: a roll down and out. The new calls sit closer to the stock and run past the company's usual late-October or early-November earnings report, so the holder paid up to keep the bet alive through it and more than doubled its sensitivity to the stock. This is a trader adding to a bullish view, not one cutting a loss.

In numbers: the order cost $1.73M net. The position it closed behaved like 128,700 VOYA shares long; the one it opened behaves like 295,400 long, so the holder kept the bet and added to its size by about 166,700 shares, while pushing its expiry to Dec 18, 2026.

The evidence. Open interest settles which leg closed and which opened: the November strike held almost exactly the size that traded, and the December strike held almost none. The November call printed near its bid and the December call near its ask. The order filled 8% of the way from the price at which the read's initiator crosses the whole quote (−$1.80M) to the price at which they are paid it (−$900K): below the midpoint, which supports the read.

The other read. Two different traders: one closing November calls and another opening December ones, matched in a single complex order by a dealer. The identical size and single order make that unlikely.

03

Scenarios to the Dec 18 expiry

Where VOYA would end if it moved evenly to each level by Dec 18, 2026, and what the position would make or lose there. The solid line is the breakeven.

VOYA at expiry: the price and what the position makes or loses

Closes through Oct 20 · scenarios to Dec 18
POSITION LOSES AT EXPIRYPOSITION PROFITS AT EXPIRY81.195.5109.8JulAugSepOctNovDecTrade$95.61$81.14 · −$2.41M$85.91 · −$2.41M$90.68 · −$2.41M$95.45 · −$2.41M$100.23 · −$2.41M$105.00 · −$2.41M$109.77 · +$2.36Mbreakeven $107.41
VOYAVOYA −15%: $81.14, −$2.41MVOYA −10%: $85.91, −$2.41MVOYA −5%: $90.68, −$2.41MVOYA flat: $95.45, −$2.41MVOYA +5%: $100.23, −$2.41MVOYA +10%: $105.00, −$2.41MVOYA +15%: $109.77, +$2.36MBreakeven $107.41
VOYA closes on today's split basis, the one its strikes use, with even paths to each level by expiry. Illustrations, not forecasts.
VOYA by Dec 18VOYAPosition at expiry
−15%$81.14−$2.41M
−10%$85.91−$2.41M
−5%$90.68−$2.41M
flat$95.45−$2.41M
+5%$100.23−$2.41M
+10%$105.00−$2.41M
+15%$109.77+$2.36M
04

What the position makes or loses

Breakeven at the Dec 18 expiry: VOYA at $107.41 (+12.5% from entry). Behaves like long 295,400 VOYA shares ($28.20M).

Profit or loss by VOYA's price
Hover the chart for any price
−$2.5M$0+$2.5M+$5.0M+$7.5M+$10M$85−11%$90−6%$95−0%$100+5%$105+10%$110+15%VOYA price at expiry (top) · move from the trade (bottom)entry $95.45now $95.61breakeven $107.41
At the Dec 18 expiryToday (Oct 20), at the options' current volatility

Profit or loss of the open position against what it was opened for, across VOYA prices from $81.14 to $114.93. The second axis is the move from the trade's price. Black-Scholes on each leg's implied volatility at the fed funds rate.

05

Since the trade

First mark on Oct 20, 2026: +$290K. The chart starts with the second session.

06

Source

Options time and sales and the option chain's open interest from a U.S. brokerage's trading platform, entered by hand. Marks from daily option bars; the closing price from our price files. Page data as of Oct 20, 2026. All bets →