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Interactive3,557 joined sessions · point-in-time scores · distinct analog episodes

Market State Atlas

Today is not matched to one old headline. It is placed inside a transparent two-axis state space: the 3–12 month Cycle Score and the 1–10 session Tape Score. Click any historical point to ask what an observer could have known on that date—and what similar earlier states did next.

Today's state2026-08-21
Constructive cycle
Cycle
75
Tape
51
Fear & Greed
63

The scores summarize different clocks. Their proximity identifies comparable conditions; it does not make two market periods identical.

01

Choose a state

Today · Constructive cycle

Dot color is Fear & Greed. Blue outlines are distinct earlier analogs inside the amber similarity radius.

FearGreed
02

What followed comparable states

SPY after 50 distinct prior episodes

Grey lines are episodes; amber is the median; the shaded band covers the middle 50%.

Analog outcome
+4.1%63 sessions
21-session median
+1.2%
63-session win rate
82%
Distinct episodes
50
Anchor date
2026-08-21

Episodes are separated by at least 21 sessions and must precede the anchor date with a complete 63-session outcome. This reduces overlap; it does not eliminate regime dependence or guarantee recurrence.

03

Closest prior episodes