Market State Atlas
Today is not matched to one old headline. It is placed inside a transparent two-axis state space: the 3–12 month Cycle Score and the 1–10 session Tape Score. Click any historical point to ask what an observer could have known on that date—and what similar earlier states did next.
The scores summarize different clocks. Their proximity identifies comparable conditions; it does not make two market periods identical.
Choose a state
Today · Mixed state
Dot color is Fear & Greed. Blue outlines are distinct earlier analogs inside the amber similarity radius.
What followed comparable states
SPY after 50 distinct prior episodes
Grey lines are episodes; amber is the median; the shaded band covers the middle 50%.
- 21-session median
- +2.0%
- 63-session win rate
- 74%
- Distinct episodes
- 50
- Anchor date
- 2026-10-07
Episodes are separated by at least 21 sessions and must precede the anchor date with a complete 63-session outcome. This reduces overlap; it does not eliminate regime dependence or guarantee recurrence.
Closest prior episodes
The scores summarize different clocks. Their proximity identifies comparable conditions; it does not make two market periods identical.