thetrading.tools
Stocks/MRNAPrototype · noindex

Moderna (MRNA) Stock: Price, Trend, Options & Financials

Moderna's price regime, relative strength, unusual-options and unusual-volume history, curated-manager ownership and filed fundamentals — joined into one dated stock intelligence page.

What the evidence says now

MRNA closed at $145.07 on Aug 21, 2026. The price is +114.6% from its 50-day average and +197.7% from its 200-day average, which places it in the rules-based “established uptrend” regime. The relative-strength check: over three months the stock returned +207.0%, beating SPY by 203.9%. It remains 17.9% below its 52-week high.

Sources, methodology & freshnessLast updated 2026-08-21 · Open ↓
Source
Split-adjusted OHLCV, end-of-day options chains, SEC 13F filings and EDGAR XBRL company facts
Methodology
All symbols resolve through one SEC issuer identity; each block keeps its own vintage and missing evidence remains missing
Updates
Price/options daily; 13F quarterly; Financials each earnings seasonLast: 2026-08-21
Maintained & reviewed by Yuriy Matso — methodology shown on the page.
The answer · MRNA stock2026-08-21market close
Established uptrend
$145.07+8.8% 1D

The close is +114.6% from its 50-day average and +197.7% from its 200-day average. Over three months, MRNA returned +207.0% versus +3.1% for SPY.

vs 50-day
+114.6%
vs 200-day
+197.7%
From 52W high
-17.9%

Descriptive, not predictive. “Uptrend” is a rules-based reading of the close and moving averages; it is not a rating, price target or recommendation.

01

Price & regime

1 month
+154.4%
21 sessions
3 months
+207.0%
SPY +3.1%
6 months
+190.9%
126 sessions
1 year
+439.5%
252 sessions
YTD
+391.9%
Prior year-end close
20D volatility
390.9%
Annualized daily returns

One year of daily price and volume

252 split-adjusted sessions · candles above, share volume below

Open full chart →
52-week range: $22.28–$176.66Latest volume: 3.69× its 20-day averageLatest dollar volume: $12.6B
02

Unusual options — attention, not intent

MRNA appeared in a UOA top-30 list on 4 of 62 archived scanner sessions: 3 call-side, 2 put-side and 1 on both lists. The latest session placed its call-side signature #4. Its larger composite score was 3.01, above the 1.5 “strong” threshold. That is repeated options attention, not proof of bullish trade initiation.

Call-side
3
Put-side
2
Both sides
1
Recent flagCall rankPut rank
2026-08-21#4
2026-08-20#3#6
2026-08-19#8
2026-07-10#16
Archive: 2026-05-232026-08-21. The top 30 are cross-sectional ranks. “Call-side” and “put-side” do not identify the trade initiator or whether contracts are part of a spread.

Latest chain snapshot

2026-08-21
Call composite
3.01
Top-30 #4
Put composite
0.74
Outside top 30

Strong-signature cutoff: 1.5. Current OTM volume/OI: 2.645 calls, 0.409 puts.

Researched catalyst context

2026-08-21

Aug 21: +8.8% on about 5.9 times normal volume, a third session of follow-through from the Aug 19 Phase 3 readout of the Moderna–Merck individualized mRNA melanoma therapy. The trial met its recurrence-free-survival endpoint and a key distant-metastasis-free-survival endpoint; there was no new company release Friday.

Moderna rose 177% on the readout day as the market repriced the oncology platform rather than the COVID franchise. This was a topline result, not an approval or a full data presentation: the companies plan to present detailed efficacy and safety results at a future medical meeting and discuss them with regulators. The next durable checkpoints are the full dataset and the regulatory path; until then, a three-session move of this size can remain unusually volatile.

Source: Merck and Moderna: Phase 3 INTerpath-001 topline results
03

Curated-manager ownership

1 of the 20 managers in the project's curated 13F set reported a long Moderna position in their latest filing, worth $139M in aggregate at each filing's reported value. This is a focused manager panel, not the complete institutional holder list.

Fund / managerPosition valuePortfolioSharesQuarter changeReport date
Baron Capital Group
Ron Baron · MRNA
$139M0.21%1.99M
new
2026-06-30
13F filings arrive up to 45 days after quarter-end. Values and shares are filing snapshots, not live holdings. Options rows are excluded. Open the 13F Consensus Tracker →
04

Filed fundamentals — latest snapshot

Q2 FY2026 revenue
$145M
+2.1% YoY
Net income
−$782M
+5.2% YoY
Free cash flow
−$563M
Operating cash flow − capex
Gross margin
Period ended 2026-06-30

Go deeper into the filings

The dedicated Financials dashboard carries the complete quarterly and annual income statement, balance sheet and cash-flow history, with derived figures flagged and every XBRL concept disclosed.

Open MRNA Financials →
05

How MRNA trades — the working manual

Moderna develops and commercializes medicines built on its messenger-RNA platform, with respiratory vaccines funding a broader pipeline in oncology, latent and public-health vaccines, and rare diseases. For the stock, commercial vaccine demand and cash use matter alongside probability-weighted clinical and regulatory milestones: one successful program can change the platform's perceived value well before it contributes revenue.

What can move the tape

  1. 01Commercial demand, market share and seasonality across the COVID and RSV vaccine franchises.
  2. 02Clinical evidence, regulatory timing and economics for intismeran autogene and the broader oncology pipeline.
  3. 03Progress across influenza, combination respiratory, latent-virus and rare-disease programs.
  4. 04Research spending, manufacturing utilization and the pace at which cash and investments fund the pipeline.

What can fool the read

  1. 01Vaccine recommendations, market acceptance and seasonal demand can change faster than manufacturing commitments.
  2. 02Topline trial success is not approval; detailed efficacy, safety and regulatory review can change the commercial outcome.
  3. 03Pipeline value is concentrated in uncertain clinical milestones while the company continues to report operating losses.
  4. 04Large event-driven moves can overwhelm moving-average and options signals until the price establishes a new range.
Unusual share volume

Moderna triggered 8 issuer-level flags in the committed 2026-04-012026-08-21 archive. The latest was MRNA on 2026-08-21: 5.9× its 30-day average volume while the stock moved +9.0% that session.

Earnings-reaction base rates

Not published yet. The local archive has 1 reported MRNA events—too few for a defensible gap-and-drift study. This missing block is an explicit indexing blocker.

06

Source map & freshness

BlockWhat it usesVintageRaw data
IdentitySEC issuer + primary security mapping2026-08-23JSON ↓
Price & trendSplit-adjusted daily OHLCV + SPY comparison2026-08-21CSV ↓
OptionsEnd-of-day chain anomaly ranks2026-08-21Premium →
OwnershipLatest filings from 20 curated 13F managers2026-08-21Tool →
FinancialsSEC EDGAR XBRL company facts2026-08-21JSON ↓
Joined profileThe exact contract rendered by this page2026-08-23JSON ↓
07

MRNA stock questions

Is MRNA stock in an uptrend?+

MRNA is classified in the “established uptrend” regime as of 2026-08-21: the close is +114.6% from its 50-day average and +197.7% from its 200-day average. This describes the current tape. It is not a forecast.

What does unusual options activity in MRNA mean?+

Moderna's OTM option chain produced an outlier relative to the scanner universe on at least one archived session. Call-side and put-side labels identify which book produced the signature; end-of-day chain data does not identify buyers, sellers, institutions or spread legs.

Are the MRNA 13F holdings current?+

No. 13F filings are delayed quarter-end snapshots and cover only the curated managers in this project. They are useful for documented ownership changes, not real-time positioning or complete institutional ownership.

Where are MRNA's income statement and cash flow?+

The dedicated MRNA Financials page contains the full quarterly and annual income statement, balance sheet and cash-flow history parsed from SEC EDGAR XBRL. This stock page carries only the latest filed snapshot.

Why is there no MRNA earnings-move base rate yet?+

The committed earnings archive does not yet contain enough reported events for a defensible company-level reaction study. The page leaves that block unpublished instead of presenting a tiny sample as a reliable base rate.