Microsoft (MSFT) Stock: Price, Trend, Options & Financials
Microsoft's price regime, relative strength, unusual-options history, curated-manager ownership and filed fundamentals — joined into one dated stock intelligence page.
What the evidence says now
MSFT closed at $529.76 on Oct 7, 2026. The price is +6.8% from its 50-day average and +22.2% from its 200-day average, which places it in the rules-based “established uptrend” regime. The relative-strength check: over three months the stock returned +37.8%, beating SPY by 34.4%. It remains 4.3% below its 52-week high.
Sources, methodology & freshnessSplit-adjusted OHLCV, end-of-day options chains, SEC 13F filings and EDGAR XBRL company facts · Price/options daily; 13F quarterly; Financials each earnings seasonData as of 2026-10-07 · Open ↓Close ↑
The close is +6.8% from its 50-day average and +22.2% from its 200-day average. Over three months, MSFT returned +37.8% versus +3.4% for SPY.
- vs 50-day
- +6.8%
- vs 200-day
- +22.2%
- From 52W high
- -4.3%
Descriptive, not predictive. “Uptrend” is a rules-based reading of the close and moving averages; it is not a rating, price target or recommendation.
Price & regime
One year of daily price and volume
252 split-adjusted sessions · candles above, share volume below
Unusual options — attention, not intent
MSFT appeared in a UOA top-30 list on 40 of 93 archived scanner sessions: 26 call-side, 14 put-side and 0 on both lists. The latest session did not place it in either top 30. Its larger composite score was 0.11, below the 1.5 “strong” threshold. That is repeated options attention, not proof of bullish trade initiation.
| Recent flag | Call rank | Put rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | #26 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | #4 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | — | #14 |
| 2026-08-26 | — | #15 |
| 2026-08-17 | #1 | — |
| 2026-08-12 | #4 | — |
| 2026-08-11 | #4 | — |
| 2026-08-07 | #6 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | — | #11 |
| 2026-08-05 | #28 | — |
Latest chain snapshot
2026-10-06Strong-signature cutoff: 1.5. Current OTM volume/OI: 0.095 calls, 0.058 puts.
Researched catalyst context
2026-09-25Sep 25: Microsoft rose 3.7% to $516.17 on 37.9 million shares (1.8x its 30-day average), its highest close since Nov 3, 2025. The same morning Microsoft published a rebuilt Copilot app with three modes (Home, Code and Autopilot, an always-on agent) and a two-part pricing model: a per-user licence for everyday use plus usage-based billing for agent work. Oppenheimer also raised its price target to $570 from $515, keeping Outperform.
Microsoft sells cloud infrastructure (Azure), Microsoft 365 and Windows, and Copilot is its bid to charge for AI inside the Office base: it reported 30 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats in July, about 7% of more than 450 million commercial seats. Stifel had upgraded the stock to Buy on Sep 23, and the shares still sit 6.8% below their Oct 28, 2025 high of $553.72. Home and Code roll out to the Frontier early-access programme over the coming weeks and Autopilot enters private preview at month end; whether usage billing shows up in revenue is a question for the next quarterly report.
Source: ↗Curated-manager ownership
4 of the 20 managers in the project's curated 13F set reported a long Microsoft position in their latest filing, worth $3.2B in aggregate at each filing's reported value. This is a focused manager panel, not the complete institutional holder list.
| Fund / manager | Position value | Portfolio | Shares | Quarter change | Report date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pershing Square Capital Bill Ackman · MSFT | $2.1B | 15.26% | 5.65M | — new | 2026-03-31 |
Altimeter Capital Brad Gerstner · MSFT | $473M | 4.81% | 1.27M | +7.1% increased | 2026-06-30 |
Fundsmith Terry Smith · MSFT | $596M | 4.36% | 1.60M | -23.2% reduced | 2026-06-30 |
Baron Capital Group Ron Baron · MSFT | $24M | 0.04% | 63,695 | -13.6% reduced | 2026-06-30 |
Filed fundamentals — latest snapshot
Go deeper into the filings
The dedicated Financials dashboard carries the complete quarterly and annual income statement, balance sheet and cash-flow history, with derived figures flagged and every XBRL concept disclosed.
Open MSFT Financials →How MSFT trades — the working manual
Microsoft spans cloud infrastructure, productivity software, operating systems, security and gaming. For the stock, the central tension is whether demand for cloud and AI services can grow fast enough to earn an attractive return on a much larger infrastructure base while protecting the margins of the established software franchises.
What can move the tape
- 01Azure and other cloud growth, including the pace at which AI workloads become recurring consumption.
- 02Microsoft 365 pricing, seat growth and enterprise renewal behavior.
- 03Data-center capital spending, depreciation and the effect of infrastructure investment on margins.
- 04Enterprise technology budgets, commercial bookings and remaining performance obligations.
What can fool the read
- 01AI infrastructure can create a long delay between cash outlays and measurable returns.
- 02Cloud and application competition can pressure pricing or require sustained investment.
- 03Antitrust, bundling and platform regulation can constrain distribution advantages.
- 04A premium valuation can make solid operating results insufficient when expectations are higher.
Microsoft triggered 4 issuer-level flags in the committed 2026-04-01–2026-10-07 archive. The latest was MSFT on 2026-09-25: 1.8× its 30-day average volume while the stock moved +3.4% that session.
Not published yet. The local archive has 1 reported MSFT events—too few for a defensible gap-and-drift study. This missing block is an explicit indexing blocker.
Source map & freshness
| Block | What it uses | Vintage | Raw data |
|---|---|---|---|
| Identity | SEC issuer + primary security mapping | 2026-10-05 | JSON ↓ |
| Price & trend | Split-adjusted daily OHLCV + SPY comparison | 2026-10-07 | CSV ↓ |
| Options | End-of-day chain anomaly ranks | 2026-10-06 | Premium → |
| Ownership | Latest filings from 20 curated 13F managers | 2026-10-07 | Tool → |
| Financials | SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts | 2026-08-27 | JSON ↓ |
| Joined profile | The exact contract rendered by this page | 2026-10-07 | JSON ↓ |
MSFT stock questions
Is MSFT stock in an uptrend?+
MSFT is classified in the “established uptrend” regime as of 2026-10-07: the close is +6.8% from its 50-day average and +22.2% from its 200-day average. This describes the current tape. It is not a forecast.
What does unusual options activity in MSFT mean?+
Microsoft's OTM option chain produced an outlier relative to the scanner universe on at least one archived session. Call-side and put-side labels identify which book produced the signature; end-of-day chain data does not identify buyers, sellers, institutions or spread legs.
Are the MSFT 13F holdings current?+
No. 13F filings are delayed quarter-end snapshots and cover only the curated managers in this project. They are useful for documented ownership changes, not real-time positioning or complete institutional ownership.
Where are MSFT's income statement and cash flow?+
The dedicated MSFT Financials page contains the full quarterly and annual income statement, balance sheet and cash-flow history parsed from SEC EDGAR XBRL. This stock page carries only the latest filed snapshot.
Why is there no MSFT earnings-move base rate yet?+
The committed earnings archive does not yet contain enough reported events for a defensible company-level reaction study. The page leaves that block unpublished instead of presenting a tiny sample as a reliable base rate.