Every study, in order.

13F Filings, Q2 2026: Alphabet, Amazon and TSM Lead a Four-Quarter Accumulation Screen

Across 18 comparable Q2 13F filings, Alphabet led current buying while TSM and Amazon showed the strongest multi-quarter accumulation.

18 min read

Sectors & Rotation

Why Energy Stocks Are at a Record While Oil Is Down 31% From Its High — and What Happened Last Time

XLE at a 28-year record with Brent 31% below its April high. Refiners did the work on a 99.9th-percentile crack spread. The last time, November 2022, the margin halved and XLE lost 12%.

Housing

Is the Housing Market Going to Crash? What the 2026 Data Actually Shows

Existing-home sales at 4.06M, a 2010-trough pace; prices +1% nominal, −2.8% real; owners at 72% equity, delinquency 1.9%. Frozen and slowly deflating, not 2008.

10 min read

Commodities & Miners

Copper Is at a Record High. The Best Copper Stocks for the Run, Ranked by 15 Years of Data

Copper hit a record $13,552/tonne. We ranked all 1,901 US-listed $2B+ stocks by 15 years of copper correlation: the top miners, the diversified route, the indirect plays — and what the 2011 bust did to each.

12 min read

Sectors & Rotation

Why Are Utility Stocks Falling While the Market Sets Records? It Isn’t Rates This Time

WEC fell 11 straight sessions and every large utility dropped 3–10% while SPY set records — and the 10-year barely moved. What 43 long utility streaks since 2010 did next.

Breadth & Participation

Why Is Only Tech Going Up? What 13 Similar Rallies Actually Predicted

Tech beat energy by 10.6 points in five sessions, but most sectors rose. After 12 similar rallies near highs, SPY’s next quarter matched its baseline.

8 min read

July 2026

2 studies

Jul

Breadth & Participation

Nearly Half of Nasdaq-100 Stocks Are in a Bear Market. The Index Is 3% From a Record

45 of 101 Nasdaq-100 members are 20%+ below their own highs while QQQ sits 3.5% from a record. This shape has 22 precedents in 15 years — 20 of them this year.

Jul

Volatility & Risk

Why Are Tech Stocks So Volatile Right Now? The Tech-Vol Spread Is the Widest Since 2003

The VXN−VIX spread hit 11.1 pts — its widest since 2003, a level seen only in the dot-com unwind — while VIX sits at a calm 16.6. What followed similar readings.

June 2026

6 studies

Rates & the Fed

Is the Fed Cornered? Inflation Hit 4.1% — and the Chair Trump Hired to Cut Is Signaling Hikes

Headline PCE hit 4.1% and the real fed funds rate just went negative (−0.4%). Trump hired Warsh to cut; his Fed is signaling hikes. Is the Fed cornered? Mostly — here’s the nuance.

10 min read

The Consumer

Is the US Consumer Healthy? Sentiment Just Hit a Record Low — and Spending Keeps Rising

US sentiment hit a record low, yet real spending is up 2.1% and delinquencies are falling. The risk is thin savings, not vibes.

Cash on the Sidelines: $8 Trillion Sits in Money Market Funds. Will It Flow Into Stocks?

A record $8 trillion sits in money market funds, $2.25T of it retail. Will it fuel stocks? The data says it depends on one thing — and it isn’t the cash.

Hedge Funds Are Record-Short S&P 500 Futures. Why It Isn’t Bearish

Leveraged funds hold a record net short in S&P 500 futures, yet the index is at all-time highs. Why the basis trade — not bearishness — explains it, with our own data.

8 min read

Household Equity Allocation Hit a Record. What It Means for Future Stock Returns

Household equity allocation reached 45.8% after a record 47.1% — above the 2000 peak. Why it points to lower long-run stock returns and says nothing about an imminent crash.

Inflation

Is Inflation Coming Back? The PPI–CPI Gap Just Hit Its 97th Percentile

CPI accelerated from 2.4% to 4.2% in four months while PPI hit 13.1% — a 97th-percentile gap. What the five prior episodes since 1948 did to consumer prices.