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Economy/Real Retail Sales
GrowthUpdated with every release

Real Retail Sales

Real retail sales deflate nominal retail spending by the CPI, measuring the actual volume of goods consumers buy rather than the dollars they spend. The adjustment matters most during high-inflation stretches, when nominal sales can climb even as real consumption shrinks.

Real Retail SalesReleased 2026-08-14covers Jul 2026
$229B
from $231B

Real retail sales ($, chained)

YoY %
1.7%
All-time high $231B (2026-06)
All-time low $117B (1993-03)
Since 1993
Observations 402

Next release: Sep 16, 2026

Latest reading

As of July 2026, Real Retail Sales (Real retail sales ($, chained)) stands at $229B — down from $231B the prior reading, below the June 2026 record of $231B. Use the year-over-year rate to find genuine trends. When nominal sales rise but real sales fall, inflation is eroding purchasing power — a classic consumer-stress signal. Several consecutive months of negative real growth is a meaningful recession warning, since real consumption feeds directly into real GDP. Series history runs from 1993 to present.

Sources, methodology & freshnessLast updated 2026-09-04 · Open ↓
Source
Census Bureau / FRED (RRSFS), monthly, inflation-adjusted
Methodology
Complete monthly history, charted as released — release-dated readings, no smoothing or adjustment beyond what the chart legend states
Updates
Monthly, with every releaseLast: 2026-09-04
Maintained & reviewed by Yuriy Matso — methodology shown on the page.
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Full history

Range:

Sales level (real $)

Real retail sales ($, chained)SPY price (right, since 1993)

Year-over-year %

The annual growth rate of real (inflation-adjusted) retail sales. Shaded zones split growth (green, above 0%) from decline (red, below 0%) — several negative months is a classic consumer-stress recession signal.

Real Retail Sales YoY %SPY price (right, since 1993)Zero line
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Methodology & data

Real Retail Sales is sourced from Census/FRED via the Federal Reserve's FRED service (Census Bureau / FRED (RRSFS), monthly, inflation-adjusted). We pull the complete history, chart it on a monthly basis, overlay SPY for context, and generate a dated plain-English reading from the latest release — with no smoothing or adjustment beyond what the chart legend states.

Every reading is stamped with its release date, last updated 2026-09-04. Maintained and reviewed by Yuriy Matso; see our methodology for the standards every series on the site is held to.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the Real Retail Sales?

Real retail sales deflate nominal retail spending by the CPI, measuring the actual volume of goods consumers buy rather than the dollars they spend. The adjustment matters most during high-inflation stretches, when nominal sales can climb even as real consumption shrinks.

How do you read Real Retail Sales?

Use the year-over-year rate to find genuine trends. When nominal sales rise but real sales fall, inflation is eroding purchasing power — a classic consumer-stress signal. Several consecutive months of negative real growth is a meaningful recession warning, since real consumption feeds directly into real GDP.

Where does the Real Retail Sales data come from?

Census Bureau / FRED (RRSFS), monthly, inflation-adjusted. We chart the full history and publish a dated, plain-English reading with every release; the raw series is downloadable as CSV at /data/indicators/real-retail-sales.csv.

How often is Real Retail Sales updated?

Real Retail Sales is a monthly series from Census/FRED, refreshed here as soon as a new release posts to FRED.