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InflationUpdated with every release

PCE Price Index

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index tracks what households actually spend money on, published monthly by the BEA. Unlike CPI it uses a chain-weighted formula that captures consumers substituting toward cheaper goods, has broader coverage, and includes spending made on their behalf — so it tends to run about 0.3pt below CPI.

Latest reading

As of May 2026, PCE (PCE YoY %) stands at 4.1% — up from 3.8% the prior reading. The year-over-year rate is the focus, and the Fed officially targets 2% on PCE — not CPI. A wide gap below CPI suggests consumers are successfully trading down to cheaper alternatives. PCE moves in smaller swings than CPI, so a clear shift in its trend carries more signal. Series history runs from 1959 to present.

Sources, methodology & freshnessLast updated 2026-07-24 · Open ↓
Source
BEA via FRED (PCEPI), monthly, seasonally adjusted
Methodology
Complete monthly history, charted as released — release-dated readings, no smoothing or adjustment beyond what the chart legend states
Updates
Monthly, with every releaseLast: 2026-07-24
Maintained & reviewed by Yuriy Matso — methodology shown on the page.
PCEReleased 2026-06-25covers May 2026
4.1%
from 3.8%

PCE YoY %

All-time high 11.6% (1980-03)
All-time low -1.5% (2009-07)
Since 1960
Observations 797

Next release: Jul 30, 2026

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Full history

Range:

Index & YoY %

PCE YoY %SPY price (right, since 1993)

3-month annualized %

The trailing 3-month change in PCE prices, annualized — where the Fed's preferred inflation gauge is running right now, ahead of the base-effect-laden year-over-year rate.

PCE 3-mo annualized %SPY price (right, since 1993)
02

Methodology & data

PCE is sourced from BEA via the Federal Reserve's FRED service (BEA via FRED (PCEPI), monthly, seasonally adjusted). We pull the complete history, chart it on a monthly basis, overlay SPY for context, and generate a dated plain-English reading from the latest release — with no smoothing or adjustment beyond what the chart legend states.

Every reading is stamped with its release date, last updated 2026-07-24. Maintained and reviewed by Yuriy Matso; see our methodology for the standards every series on the site is held to.

03

Frequently asked questions

What is the PCE Price Index?

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index tracks what households actually spend money on, published monthly by the BEA. Unlike CPI it uses a chain-weighted formula that captures consumers substituting toward cheaper goods, has broader coverage, and includes spending made on their behalf — so it tends to run about 0.3pt below CPI.

How do you read PCE?

The year-over-year rate is the focus, and the Fed officially targets 2% on PCE — not CPI. A wide gap below CPI suggests consumers are successfully trading down to cheaper alternatives. PCE moves in smaller swings than CPI, so a clear shift in its trend carries more signal.

Where does the PCE data come from?

BEA via FRED (PCEPI), monthly, seasonally adjusted. We chart the full history and publish a dated, plain-English reading with every release; the raw series is downloadable as CSV at /data/indicators/pce.csv.

How often is PCE updated?

PCE is a monthly series from BEA, refreshed here as soon as a new release posts to FRED.

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