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Economy/Core PCE
InflationUpdated with every release

Core PCE Price Index

Core PCE is the PCE price index with food and energy stripped out, and it is the specific measure the Federal Reserve targets when it talks about 2% inflation. The BEA builds it with the same chain-weighted methodology as headline PCE, leaving a basket heavily weighted toward sticky services like housing, healthcare, and finance.

Latest reading

As of April 2026, Core PCE (Core PCE YoY %) stands at 3.3% — up from 3.2% the prior reading. Year-over-year Core PCE is what the Fed watches, and every FOMC projection is framed in these terms — markets move hard on the release. Readings stuck above 2.5% keep the Fed restrictive; a clean glide toward 2% opens the door to cuts. Analysts also track "supercore" (core services ex-housing) for the stickiest component. Series history runs from 1993 to present.

Source
BEA via FRED (PCEPILFE), monthly, seasonally adjusted
Methodology
Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy (Chain-Type Price Index)
Updates
With every release
Last: 2026-04-01
Core PCE2026-04-01
3.3%
from 3.2%

Core PCE YoY %

All-time high 5.6% (2022-09)
All-time low 0.6% (2009-07)
Since 1994
Observations 388

Next release: Jun 25, 2026

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Full history

Range:
Core PCE YoY %SPY price (right, since 1993)
02

How to read it

Year-over-year Core PCE is what the Fed watches, and every FOMC projection is framed in these terms — markets move hard on the release. Readings stuck above 2.5% keep the Fed restrictive; a clean glide toward 2% opens the door to cuts. Analysts also track "supercore" (core services ex-housing) for the stickiest component.

03

Methodology & data

Core PCE is sourced from BEA via the Federal Reserve's FRED service (BEA via FRED (PCEPILFE), monthly, seasonally adjusted). We pull the complete history, chart it on a monthly basis, overlay SPY for context, and generate a dated plain-English reading from the latest release — with no smoothing or adjustment beyond what the chart legend states.

Every reading is stamped with its release date, last updated 2026-06-09. See our methodology for the standards every series on the site is held to.

Category
Inflation
Frequency
Monthly
Source
BEA
Download CSV
04

Related indicators

All economic indicators
05

Frequently asked questions

What is the Core PCE Price Index?

Core PCE is the PCE price index with food and energy stripped out, and it is the specific measure the Federal Reserve targets when it talks about 2% inflation. The BEA builds it with the same chain-weighted methodology as headline PCE, leaving a basket heavily weighted toward sticky services like housing, healthcare, and finance.

How do you read Core PCE?

Year-over-year Core PCE is what the Fed watches, and every FOMC projection is framed in these terms — markets move hard on the release. Readings stuck above 2.5% keep the Fed restrictive; a clean glide toward 2% opens the door to cuts. Analysts also track "supercore" (core services ex-housing) for the stickiest component.

Where does the Core PCE data come from?

BEA via FRED (PCEPILFE), monthly, seasonally adjusted. We chart the full history and publish a dated, plain-English reading with every release; the raw series is downloadable as CSV at /data/indicators/core-pce.csv.

How often is Core PCE updated?

Core PCE is a monthly series from BEA, refreshed here as soon as a new release posts to FRED.